Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 110.144006 121.539105 133.191542 145.972399 159.570996 173.582261 189.084394
2025-06-29 89.076265 105.802179 123.737187 144.285238 167.062187 191.427263 219.351153
2025-07-06 74.405065 94.753160 117.551880 144.704918 175.880098 210.283664 250.846983
2025-07-13 65.195792 88.468010 115.585591 148.979806 188.463134 233.151686 287.040521
2025-07-20 57.010120 82.241056 112.750604 151.489099 198.505137 252.904146 319.773748
2025-07-27 51.384042 78.381216 112.128350 156.134383 210.744329 275.099252 355.460260
2025-08-03 46.054956 74.218147 110.570843 159.178539 220.747775 294.518799 387.938911
2025-08-10 38.164886 65.709467 102.638056 153.460271 219.334948 299.725746 403.095087
2025-08-17 32.438908 59.529780 97.175158 150.373367 220.768484 308.076461 421.840069
2025-08-24 28.258403 55.099980 93.665834 149.489812 224.730615 319.379138 444.131120
2025-08-31 25.363271 52.279061 92.130649 151.044916 231.719916 334.433658 471.129669
2025-09-07 23.785497 51.355089 93.195044 156.108027 243.349168 355.476795 505.825941
2025-09-14 21.485556 49.058574 92.147659 158.231043 251.199448 371.974963 535.293722
2025-09-21 18.991145 46.140770 89.943798 158.549913 256.537364 385.254012 560.828155
2025-09-28 17.040808 43.943107 88.669924 160.091540 263.506512 400.710104 589.308756
2025-10-05 16.024382 43.345365 89.857049 165.249387 275.561421 423.020779 626.894325
2025-10-12 14.689307 41.965586 89.654682 168.244856 284.556037 441.305937 659.378733
2025-10-19 13.867015 41.495716 90.886911 173.394255 296.638632 463.824171 697.577418
2025-10-26 12.812468 40.410912 90.988733 176.747968 306.146095 482.925299 731.418270
2025-11-02 10.426940 36.102037 85.223598 170.642810 301.709659 482.870789 739.765469
2025-11-09 8.745011 33.042277 81.383108 167.343078 301.178436 488.030264 754.980459
2025-11-16 7.561181 30.939259 79.096420 166.403083 304.038542 497.830248 776.434553
2025-11-23 6.801723 29.765919 78.443805 168.082429 310.802201 513.100939 805.368458